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(Reference retrieved automatically from Web of Science through information on FAPESP grant and its corresponding number as mentioned in the publication by the authors.)

Tents, Tweets, and Events: The Interplay Between Ongoing Protests and Social Media

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Bastos, Marco T. [1] ; Mercea, Dan [2] ; Charpentier, Arthur [3]
Total Authors: 3
[1] Duke Univ, Franklin Human Inst, Durham, NC 27708 - USA
[2] City Univ London, Dept Sociol, London EC1R 0JD - England
[3] Univ Quebec, Dept Math, Montreal, PQ H2X 3Y7 - Canada
Total Affiliations: 3
Document type: Journal article
Source: JOURNAL OF COMMUNICATION; v. 65, n. 2, p. 320-350, APR 2015.
Web of Science Citations: 23

Recent protests have fuelled deliberations about the extent to which social media ignites popular uprisings. In this article, we use time-series data of Twitter, Facebook, and onsite protests to assess the Granger causality between social media streams and onsite developments at the Indignados, Occupy, and Brazilian Vinegar protests. After applying Gaussianization to the data, we found contentious communication on Twitter and Facebook forecasted onsite protest during the Indignados and Occupy protests, with bidirectional Granger causality between online and onsite protest in the Occupy series. Conversely, the Vinegar demonstrations presented Granger causality between Facebook and Twitter communication, and separately between protestors and injuries/arrests onsite. We conclude that the effective forecasting of protest activity likely varies across different instances of political unrest. (AU)

FAPESP's process: 10/06243-4 - NETCLUSTERING: a theoretical model for emerging networks
Grantee:Marco Toledo de Assis Bastos
Support type: Scholarships in Brazil - Post-Doctorate
FAPESP's process: 11/22495-6 - Newscluster: newsmaking in the Twittersphere
Grantee:Marco Toledo de Assis Bastos
Support type: Scholarships abroad - Research Internship - Post-doctor